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Mangosuthu Buthelezi's Weekly Newsletter to
the Nation
March 14, 2007
My dear friends and fellow South Africans,
"The Devil Wears
Prada" was one of last year's most successful films,
deliciously capturing the youth of today's struggle
against consumerism and wholesome - if somewhat
old-fashioned - traditional values.
At the risk of sounding like a killjoy, I am
concerned about the rampant consumerism which seems
to have gripped our society from the ruling elite
downwards. I see it in my party and community too
with people, especially our youth, overextending
themselves with expensive cars and ostentatious
lifestyles.
Thanks to the explosion of credit cards, many
people, including those in the lower income
brackets, can now purchase luxury items such as,
well, Prada shoes and i-pods. Instant gratification
is the name of the game.
On one level, a bad example is set at the top and
filters down through our social hierarchy. The ANC
government has effectively added the word
"overspending" into our daily vocabulary with the
growing number of government departments and
institutions, both national and provincial,
routinely overspending their annual budgets,
sometimes by astronomic amounts - like the
KwaZulu-Natal Department of Agriculture and
Environmental Affairs.
With such role models at hand, our personal credit
cards are fuelling a consumer society out of
control. We are encouraged to pay on credit, even if
we cannot afford the consumer product that we do not
really need, but that slick advertising convinces us
we must have.
When one walks into any of our high street banks,
one is bombarded with soft focus images on flat
screens of attractive people buying a stylish new
item of clothing or booking that luxury holiday
thanks to the bank's natty slim credit card which
glides effortlessly through the cash till.
And spend, spend, spend is what we South Africans
have been doing recently. Consumer confidence is
reflected in a buoyant economy driven by a
three-year consumer spending boom. This has led to a
sharp uptake in imports and a current account
deficit contributing to the inflationary pressures
that have spurred higher interest rates. Yet South
Africa's fourth quarter growth rose to over five
percent. This is obviously good news.
But whilst consumer demand is likely to remain
robust with manufacturing, construction, finance and
retail and wholesale trade propelling growth, I must
strike a cautionary note about household debt.
Let us look west for a moment. The USA, the world's
largest economy, is, according to many commentators,
heading for a recession. The redoubtable financial
magician, Alan Greenspan, has warned that there is a
thirty percent chance of the US economy going into
recession. Others think there is a much higher
probability.
Whilst the heady consumerism in America can be
attributed to several factors, the most important
one has been that consumers have been spending more
money than they have been earning for a long time.
With falling house prices (what goes up usually
comes down), there is little left for American
consumers to spend. This is why the US savings rate
is negative and there is no money for that 'rainy
day' which I wrote about a few weeks back.
Needless to say, if the US economy slips into
recession, this will have a negative domino effect
on the global economy since its output accounts for
thirty percent of worldwide economic activity.
Similarly and worryingly, like America, South Africa
has one of the lowest saving rates in the world and
high household debt.
According to the latest Reserve Bank Quarterly
Bulletin, household debt in proportion to disposable
income is more than seventy percent. This is the
highest level ever recorded. Household savings as a
percentage of disposable income are effectively zero
- also the lowest level ever recorded in South
Africa.
I therefore welcome the introduction of the National
Credit Act (NCA), aimed at regulating a responsible
credit industry, which will come into effect in
June. I still, however, caution South Africans, as
the Finance Minister did in the latest Budget, to
use their tax cuts to reduce household debt and save
for the future.
I plead with all South Africans to stop borrowing
and consider the fact that credit card companies and
banks can only make profits running into billions if
we go into debt. Seen in this light, the devil's
proverbial Prada shoes (I, personally, have nothing
against Prada), might not look so enticing. I do
believe that if we collectively act now, we can
avoid a credit hangover later.
On the other side of the coin is the plight of the
poor majority. Most South Africans are not
participants in the present economic bonanza.
Nationwide, fewer than half of South Africans have
access to a bank.
Traditional banks are often located far from poor
South Africans, or require documentation to open an
account, such as proof of income and address, which
many people lack. Bank fees in South Africa, as I
have so often lamented, are also some of the highest
in the world. Banks should be using some of their
huge profits to slash banking fees for the poorest.
Alongside the introduction of the NCA, I would like
to see
legislation to curb excessive bank fees.
Without access to a bank account, many poor South
Africans are stuck in the informal cash economy.
They cannot save safely or borrow efficiently,
except at very high interest rates from
micro-lenders, the infamous loan sharks whose
makeshift branches have mushroomed even where
conventional banks do not dare tread.
I have always contended that easier access to
banking will encourage people to save more, and to
put their savings - often kept in cardboard boxes
under their beds or invested in informal groups
known as "stokvels" - to better use.
In order to spend better, we must also rethink the
concept of credit and get back to some first
principles. Instead of borrowing to finance
consumption, we all must learn to borrow to finance
money-generating enterprises - within our own
limits. This is not only about setting up a
business. Other available options are investments
into savings and pension schemes.
Most financial advisers will tell you to start
saving by putting aside one tenth of your monthly
salary, starting with your first pay check. I can
only agree and add that it is never too late to
start with your next salary, be consistent, set a
good example to your children in the process and, in
the end, enjoy the savings when they come in handy.
Yours sincerely,
Mangosuthu Buthelezi
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